NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHSO SCUS
Points 65.6 67.6
Total Points   133.2
Points From 2-Pointers 32.3 39.6
Points From 3-Pointers 18.5 17.1
Points From Free Throws 14.9 10.9
Shooting CHSO SCUS
Field Goals Made 22.3 25.5
Field Goals Attempted 55.3 58.7
Field Goal % 40.3% 43.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.1 19.8
2 Pointers Attempted 35.7 38.4
2 Point Shooting % 45.2% 51.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 19.7 20.2
3 Point Shooting % 31.3% 28.2%
Free Throws Made 14.9 10.9
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 17.0
Free Throw % 69.7% 64.0%
Ball Control CHSO SCUS
Rebounds 39.9 33.3
Rebounds - Defensive 28.9 25.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 7.7
Turnovers 11.6 8.3
Blocked Shots 2.7 3.0
Steals 3.6 6.0
Fouls 14.7 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Charl South

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHSO SCUS
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 68.9 68.7
% of Possessions with CHSO SCUS
2 Point Attempt 43.7% 49.2%
3 Point Attempt 24.1% 25.9%
Player Fouled 21.7% 21.1%
Turnover 16.7% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 5.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHSO SCUS
Shot Blocked 5.1% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 30.2% 21.0%