NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ETSU UNCG
Points 68.5 72.1
Total Points   140.6
Points From 2-Pointers 27.5 30.2
Points From 3-Pointers 25.6 28.6
Points From Free Throws 15.4 13.4
Shooting ETSU UNCG
Field Goals Made 22.3 24.6
Field Goals Attempted 56.1 56.5
Field Goal % 39.7% 43.6%
2 Pointers Made 13.7 15.1
2 Pointers Attempted 30.4 31.2
2 Point Shooting % 45.3% 48.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 9.5
3 Pointers Attempted 25.7 25.3
3 Point Shooting % 33.1% 37.7%
Free Throws Made 15.4 13.4
Free Throws Attempted 23.3 18.3
Free Throw % 66.1% 72.8%
Ball Control ETSU UNCG
Rebounds 38.0 34.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 24.7
Rebounds - Offensive 13.7 10.1
Turnovers 11.1 11.0
Blocked Shots 3.7 2.7
Steals 6.1 6.7
Fouls 15.9 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: E Tenn St

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ETSU UNCG
Total Possessions 68.7
Effective Scoring Chances 71.3 67.8
% of Possessions with ETSU UNCG
2 Point Attempt 36.4% 38.9%
3 Point Attempt 30.8% 31.5%
Player Fouled 21.9% 23.1%
Turnover 16.2% 16.0%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken ETSU UNCG
Shot Blocked 4.8% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 35.7% 29.4%