NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHSO NCST
Points 58.5 79.7
Total Points   138.1
Points From 2-Pointers 28.6 47.3
Points From 3-Pointers 19.5 15.9
Points From Free Throws 10.3 16.5
Shooting CHSO NCST
Field Goals Made 20.8 28.9
Field Goals Attempted 57.4 60.6
Field Goal % 36.2% 47.7%
2 Pointers Made 14.3 23.6
2 Pointers Attempted 36.7 43.9
2 Point Shooting % 39.0% 53.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 5.3
3 Pointers Attempted 20.8 16.8
3 Point Shooting % 31.3% 31.5%
Free Throws Made 10.3 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 14.9 22.6
Free Throw % 69.7% 73.3%
Ball Control CHSO NCST
Rebounds 33.7 40.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 29.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 10.4
Turnovers 12.2 6.1
Blocked Shots 2.0 3.7
Steals 2.5 7.0
Fouls 14.9 12.4

Playing Style Advantage: Charl South

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHSO NCST
Total Possessions 69.9
Effective Scoring Chances 66.6 74.2
% of Possessions with CHSO NCST
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 54.1%
3 Point Attempt 25.9% 20.7%
Player Fouled 17.8% 21.4%
Turnover 17.4% 8.7%
Opponent Steal 10.0% 3.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHSO NCST
Shot Blocked 6.1% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 23.0% 29.5%