NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OSU WIS
Points 72.8 72.6
Total Points   145.4
Points From 2-Pointers 39.2 38.0
Points From 3-Pointers 19.3 20.5
Points From Free Throws 14.3 14.2
Shooting OSU WIS
Field Goals Made 26.0 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 54.1 59.8
Field Goal % 48.2% 43.2%
2 Pointers Made 19.6 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 36.6 40.4
2 Point Shooting % 53.6% 46.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 17.5 19.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 14.3 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.0 18.9
Free Throw % 75.2% 75.1%
Ball Control OSU WIS
Rebounds 32.8 34.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.9 23.9
Rebounds - Offensive 6.9 10.3
Turnovers 9.8 8.3
Blocked Shots 4.6 1.6
Steals 4.0 5.0
Fouls 16.2 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Wisconsin

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OSU WIS
Total Possessions 68.7
Effective Scoring Chances 65.8 70.7
% of Possessions with OSU WIS
2 Point Attempt 48.0% 50.0%
3 Point Attempt 22.9% 24.0%
Player Fouled 23.3% 23.6%
Turnover 14.2% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken OSU WIS
Shot Blocked 2.7% 8.5%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 28.5%