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Ohio St at Duke
Wed Nov 30, 2022
7:15pm ET
Durham, NC
Ohio St at Duke: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Duke by 5, Total Points: 136
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | OSU | adv | DUKE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 17-18-1 | 21-14-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-11-0 | 11-10-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 8-11-1 | 11-7-0 | |
| Away | 9-7-0 | 10-7-1 |
Ohio St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Oakland | -19.5 | W by 6 | -13.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Texas A&M | -1.5 | L by 7 | -8.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | Merrimack | -24.0 | W by 24 | 0.0 |
| 11/19 | Home | W Michigan | -21.5 | W by 17 | -4.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Alabama | +6.5 | W by 11 | +17.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Santa Clara | -6.5 | W by 30 | +23.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Central Mich | -24.0 | W by 27 | +3.0 |
| 12/03 | Home | Minnesota | -12.5 | W by 10 | -2.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Miami (OH) | -22.5 | W by 20 | -2.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Penn St | -5.0 | L by 3 | -8.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | UCLA | -2.0 | W by 7 | +5.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | New Orleans | -24.0 | W by 42 | +18.0 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | W Virginia | -8.5 | W by 3 | -5.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Rutgers | -7.5 | W by 4 | -3.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Indiana | -1.0 | L by 6 | -7.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Wisconsin | -3.0 | L by 11 | -14.0 |
| 01/15 | Away | Michigan | +1.5 | L by 8 | -6.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Penn St | -9.5 | W by 12 | +2.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Nebraska | +4.0 | L by 14 | -10.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Northwestern | +3.0 | L by 25 | -22.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | Illinois | +3.0 | L by 12 | -9.0 |
| 02/02 | Away | Iowa | +6.0 | L by 2 | +4.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Indiana | -5.5 | L by 3 | -8.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Maryland | -2.5 | W by 4 | +1.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | Wisconsin | +9.0 | L by 8 | +1.0 |
| 02/18 | Home | Purdue | +8.0 | W by 4 | +12.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | Minnesota | +3.0 | L by 9 | -6.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | Michigan St | +10.0 | W by 3 | +13.0 |
| 02/29 | Home | Nebraska | -2.5 | W by 9 | +6.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Michigan | -12.0 | W by 23 | +11.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | Rutgers | -1.5 | W by 22 | +20.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Iowa | -2.5 | W by 12 | +9.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Illinois | +5.0 | L by 3 | +2.0 |
| 03/19 | Home | Cornell | -11.0 | W by 5 | -6.0 |
| 03/23 | Home | VA Tech | -6.0 | W by 8 | +2.0 |
| 03/26 | Home | Georgia | -9.0 | L by 2 | -11.0 |
Duke Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Dartmouth | -28.0 | W by 38 | +10.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Arizona | -5.0 | L by 5 | -10.0 |
| 11/14 | Neutral | Michigan St | -4.0 | W by 9 | +5.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Bucknell | -34.5 | W by 30 | -4.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | La Salle | -25.5 | W by 29 | +3.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | S Indiana | -36.5 | W by 18 | -18.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | Arkansas | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | GA Tech | -12.5 | L by 4 | -16.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Charlotte | -16.5 | W by 24 | +7.5 |
| 12/12 | Home | Hofstra | -15.5 | W by 21 | +5.5 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Baylor | -2.0 | W by 8 | +6.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Queens | -28.0 | W by 37 | +9.0 |
| 01/02 | Home | Syracuse | -14.5 | W by 20 | +5.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Notre Dame | -14.5 | W by 8 | -6.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Pittsburgh | -5.0 | W by 22 | +17.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | GA Tech | -17.5 | W by 5 | -12.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Pittsburgh | -12.5 | L by 4 | -16.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Louisville | -14.0 | W by 14 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Clemson | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | VA Tech | -3.5 | W by 10 | +6.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | N Carolina | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Notre Dame | -17.0 | W by 18 | +1.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Boston Col | -12.5 | W by 15 | +2.5 |
| 02/12 | Home | Wake Forest | -7.0 | W by 8 | +1.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Florida St | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Miami | -7.0 | W by 29 | +22.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Wake Forest | +3.0 | L by 4 | -1.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Louisville | -20.5 | W by 25 | +4.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Virginia | -10.0 | W by 25 | +15.0 |
| 03/04 | Away | NC State | -6.5 | W by 15 | +8.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | N Carolina | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | NC State | -11.0 | L by 5 | -16.0 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Vermont | -12.5 | W by 17 | +4.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | James Mad | -6.0 | W by 38 | +32.0 |
| 03/29 | Neutral | Houston | +4.5 | W by 3 | +7.5 |
| 03/31 | Neutral | NC State | -7.0 | L by 12 | -19.0 |
| DUKE -5.0 | Open | -4.5 | High | -6.0 |
| Last | -5.5 | Low | -4.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3030 games where the closing line favored the home team by 4 to 6 points. In these games:
- The team like Duke won the game 2058 times (67.9%).
- The team like Ohio St. won the game 972 times (32.1%).
- The team like Duke did better against the spread, going 1522-1439-69 (51.4% ATS).
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4135 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Duke did better against the spread, going 2074-1978-83 (51.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -5.0 | -5.0 | -- |
| Open | -5.0 | -4.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/30 07:14 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 11/30 07:10 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 06:49 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 05:46 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 05:26 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 04:34 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 12:49 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 10:10 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 08:07 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 02:54 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 11/30 12:10 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 08:44 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 11/29 08:34 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 11/29 08:19 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 07:54 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 11/29 07:19 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 04:56 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
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