NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OSU MINN
Points 74.3 70.0
Total Points   144.3
Points From 2-Pointers 40.4 35.9
Points From 3-Pointers 19.7 21.7
Points From Free Throws 14.2 12.4
Shooting OSU MINN
Field Goals Made 26.8 25.2
Field Goals Attempted 59.2 58.8
Field Goal % 45.3% 42.9%
2 Pointers Made 20.2 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 41.7 38.5
2 Point Shooting % 48.5% 46.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 17.5 20.3
3 Point Shooting % 37.6% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 14.2 12.4
Free Throws Attempted 18.9 18.3
Free Throw % 75.2% 67.9%
Ball Control OSU MINN
Rebounds 36.7 34.6
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 9.7
Turnovers 9.1 9.9
Blocked Shots 4.4 3.4
Steals 5.5 4.8
Fouls 14.3 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Minnesota

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OSU MINN
Total Possessions 69.7
Effective Scoring Chances 70.5 69.5
% of Possessions with OSU MINN
2 Point Attempt 51.5% 47.4%
3 Point Attempt 21.6% 25.0%
Player Fouled 21.5% 20.5%
Turnover 13.1% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken OSU MINN
Shot Blocked 6.0% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 28.5% 26.6%