NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OSU IOWA
Points 80.6 76.0
Total Points   156.5
Points From 2-Pointers 42.0 42.5
Points From 3-Pointers 22.1 18.2
Points From Free Throws 16.4 15.3
Shooting OSU IOWA
Field Goals Made 28.4 27.3
Field Goals Attempted 60.9 62.8
Field Goal % 46.6% 43.5%
2 Pointers Made 21.0 21.2
2 Pointers Attempted 41.0 45.5
2 Point Shooting % 51.3% 46.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 20.0 17.3
3 Point Shooting % 37.0% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 16.4 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 19.7
Free Throw % 75.2% 77.4%
Ball Control OSU IOWA
Rebounds 38.7 34.3
Rebounds - Defensive 28.0 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 9.5
Turnovers 9.4 8.3
Blocked Shots 4.2 3.3
Steals 4.8 4.7
Fouls 15.3 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Iowa

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OSU IOWA
Total Possessions 72.8
Effective Scoring Chances 74.1 74.1
% of Possessions with OSU IOWA
2 Point Attempt 48.3% 54.1%
3 Point Attempt 23.6% 20.6%
Player Fouled 21.3% 20.9%
Turnover 12.9% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken OSU IOWA
Shot Blocked 5.4% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 30.2% 25.4%