NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OSU PSU
Points 73.6 69.8
Total Points   143.3
Points From 2-Pointers 40.7 34.3
Points From 3-Pointers 15.9 20.9
Points From Free Throws 16.9 14.5
Shooting OSU PSU
Field Goals Made 25.7 24.1
Field Goals Attempted 56.3 59.7
Field Goal % 45.6% 40.5%
2 Pointers Made 20.4 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 38.6 39.1
2 Point Shooting % 52.7% 43.9%
3 Pointers Made 5.3 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 17.7 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 30.1% 33.9%
Free Throws Made 16.9 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 19.4
Free Throw % 75.2% 74.9%
Ball Control OSU PSU
Rebounds 39.2 32.5
Rebounds - Defensive 28.7 23.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 9.2
Turnovers 11.5 9.6
Blocked Shots 3.8 2.9
Steals 4.8 5.9
Fouls 15.5 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Ohio St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OSU PSU
Total Possessions 71.5
Effective Scoring Chances 70.4 71.1
% of Possessions with OSU PSU
2 Point Attempt 46.5% 47.6%
3 Point Attempt 21.3% 25.0%
Player Fouled 23.8% 21.6%
Turnover 16.1% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken OSU PSU
Shot Blocked 5.0% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 30.9% 24.2%