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Ohio St at Michigan St
Thu Feb 25, 2021
9:00pm ET
East Lansing, MI
Ohio St at Michigan St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Ohio St. by 4, Total Points: 145
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | OSU | adv | MSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 17-18-1 | 19-15-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-11-0 | 11-10-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 8-11-1 | 11-7-0 | |
| Away | 9-7-0 | 8-8-1 |
Ohio St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Oakland | -19.5 | W by 6 | -13.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Texas A&M | -1.5 | L by 7 | -8.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | Merrimack | -24.0 | W by 24 | 0.0 |
| 11/19 | Home | W Michigan | -21.5 | W by 17 | -4.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Alabama | +6.5 | W by 11 | +17.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Santa Clara | -6.5 | W by 30 | +23.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Central Mich | -24.0 | W by 27 | +3.0 |
| 12/03 | Home | Minnesota | -12.5 | W by 10 | -2.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Miami (OH) | -22.5 | W by 20 | -2.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Penn St | -5.0 | L by 3 | -8.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | UCLA | -2.0 | W by 7 | +5.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | New Orleans | -24.0 | W by 42 | +18.0 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | W Virginia | -8.5 | W by 3 | -5.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Rutgers | -7.5 | W by 4 | -3.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Indiana | -1.0 | L by 6 | -7.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Wisconsin | -3.0 | L by 11 | -14.0 |
| 01/15 | Away | Michigan | +1.5 | L by 8 | -6.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Penn St | -9.5 | W by 12 | +2.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Nebraska | +4.0 | L by 14 | -10.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Northwestern | +3.0 | L by 25 | -22.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | Illinois | +3.0 | L by 12 | -9.0 |
| 02/02 | Away | Iowa | +6.0 | L by 2 | +4.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Indiana | -5.5 | L by 3 | -8.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Maryland | -2.5 | W by 4 | +1.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | Wisconsin | +9.0 | L by 8 | +1.0 |
| 02/18 | Home | Purdue | +8.0 | W by 4 | +12.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | Minnesota | +3.0 | L by 9 | -6.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | Michigan St | +10.0 | W by 3 | +13.0 |
| 02/29 | Home | Nebraska | -2.5 | W by 9 | +6.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Michigan | -12.0 | W by 23 | +11.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | Rutgers | -1.5 | W by 22 | +20.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Iowa | -2.5 | W by 12 | +9.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Illinois | +5.0 | L by 3 | +2.0 |
| 03/19 | Home | Cornell | -11.0 | W by 5 | -6.0 |
| 03/23 | Home | VA Tech | -6.0 | W by 8 | +2.0 |
| 03/26 | Home | Georgia | -9.0 | L by 2 | -11.0 |
Michigan St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | James Mad | -16.5 | L by 3 | -19.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | S Indiana | -32.0 | W by 23 | -9.0 |
| 11/14 | Neutral | Duke | +4.0 | L by 9 | -5.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Butler | -10.0 | W by 20 | +10.0 |
| 11/19 | Home | Alcorn St | -23.0 | W by 32 | +9.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Arizona | +5.5 | L by 6 | -0.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | GA Southern | -28.5 | W by 31 | +2.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Wisconsin | -5.5 | L by 13 | -18.5 |
| 12/10 | Away | Nebraska | -3.5 | L by 7 | -10.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Baylor | +3.5 | W by 24 | +27.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Oakland | -15.5 | W by 17 | +1.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Stony Brook | -22.5 | W by 44 | +21.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Indiana St | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | Penn St | -13.5 | W by 31 | +17.5 |
| 01/07 | Away | Northwestern | -3.0 | L by 14 | -17.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | Illinois | +3.0 | L by 3 | 0.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | Rutgers | -10.5 | W by 18 | +7.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Minnesota | -12.0 | W by 10 | -2.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Maryland | -1.0 | W by 2 | +1.0 |
| 01/26 | Away | Wisconsin | +3.0 | L by 15 | -12.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | Michigan | -12.0 | W by 19 | +7.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Maryland | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | Minnesota | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Illinois | -3.5 | W by 8 | +4.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | Penn St | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Michigan | -6.0 | W by 10 | +4.0 |
| 02/20 | Home | Iowa | -9.5 | L by 7 | -16.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Ohio St | -10.0 | L by 3 | -13.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Purdue | +10.0 | L by 6 | +4.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Northwestern | -9.0 | W by 4 | -5.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | Indiana | -3.5 | L by 1 | -4.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Minnesota | -7.0 | W by 10 | +3.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Purdue | +7.5 | L by 5 | +2.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Miss State | -1.5 | W by 18 | +16.5 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | N Carolina | +4.0 | L by 16 | -12.0 |
| OSU -4.0 | Open | -4.5 | High | -5.0 |
| Last | -3.5 | Low | -3.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1793 games where the closing line favored the away team by 3 to 5 points. In these games:
- The team like Ohio St won the game 1110 times (61.9%).
- The team like Michigan St won the game 683 times (38.1%).
- The team like Michigan St did better against the spread, going 885-861-47 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 229 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Ohio St did better against the spread, going 121-102-6 (54.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.7 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.0 | -4.0 | -4.0 |
| Open | -4.5 | -4.5 | -4.0 |
| History | |||
| 02/25 09:04 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 02/25 08:59 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 08:45 PM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 02/25 08:38 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 08:15 PM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 02/25 07:59 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 07:25 PM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 02/25 06:59 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 06:45 PM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 02/25 06:15 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 05:02 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 04:44 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 02/25 04:29 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 04:25 PM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 02/25 03:20 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 02:47 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 02:29 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 12:50 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 12:04 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 02/25 11:50 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 11:14 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 02/25 11:08 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 10:24 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 02/25 10:11 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 08:08 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 02:50 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 02:45 AM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 02/24 10:24 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 02/24 10:05 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 08:23 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 05:38 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 05:04 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/24 04:53 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
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