NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OSU NW
Points 72.4 69.5
Total Points   141.8
Points From 2-Pointers 37.3 33.9
Points From 3-Pointers 19.3 23.0
Points From Free Throws 15.8 12.6
Shooting OSU NW
Field Goals Made 25.1 24.6
Field Goals Attempted 52.7 59.8
Field Goal % 47.6% 41.1%
2 Pointers Made 18.6 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 34.5 40.3
2 Point Shooting % 54.0% 42.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 18.2 19.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 39.2%
Free Throws Made 15.8 12.6
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 16.6
Free Throw % 75.2% 75.6%
Ball Control OSU NW
Rebounds 35.7 31.7
Rebounds - Defensive 28.2 23.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 8.6
Turnovers 10.1 7.7
Blocked Shots 4.8 2.8
Steals 4.1 5.3
Fouls 15.1 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Ohio St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OSU NW
Total Possessions 68.0
Effective Scoring Chances 65.4 69.0
% of Possessions with OSU NW
2 Point Attempt 45.0% 51.3%
3 Point Attempt 23.8% 24.9%
Player Fouled 24.1% 22.2%
Turnover 14.9% 11.3%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken OSU NW
Shot Blocked 4.9% 9.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 23.5%