NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OSU MICH
Points 78.3 68.4
Total Points   146.7
Points From 2-Pointers 43.7 34.8
Points From 3-Pointers 20.0 20.9
Points From Free Throws 14.5 12.8
Shooting OSU MICH
Field Goals Made 28.5 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 60.8 59.7
Field Goal % 46.9% 40.8%
2 Pointers Made 21.9 17.4
2 Pointers Attempted 42.0 40.0
2 Point Shooting % 52.1% 43.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 18.8 19.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 14.5 12.8
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 18.1
Free Throw % 75.2% 70.8%
Ball Control OSU MICH
Rebounds 37.3 35.4
Rebounds - Defensive 27.2 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 10.6
Turnovers 8.2 10.8
Blocked Shots 4.9 2.8
Steals 6.0 3.3
Fouls 15.0 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Michigan

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OSU MICH
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 72.5 70.5
% of Possessions with OSU MICH
2 Point Attempt 51.3% 48.0%
3 Point Attempt 23.0% 23.7%
Player Fouled 22.3% 21.2%
Turnover 11.6% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 4.7% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken OSU MICH
Shot Blocked 4.8% 8.1%
Offensive Rebound 28.9% 28.1%