NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COLO OKST
Points 73.1 71.3
Total Points   144.4
Points From 2-Pointers 34.9 32.2
Points From 3-Pointers 21.0 19.7
Points From Free Throws 17.3 19.3
Shooting COLO OKST
Field Goals Made 24.4 22.7
Field Goals Attempted 51.5 54.7
Field Goal % 47.5% 41.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 16.1
2 Pointers Attempted 30.8 35.4
2 Point Shooting % 56.6% 45.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 20.7 19.2
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 17.3 19.3
Free Throws Attempted 23.1 27.0
Free Throw % 74.8% 71.3%
Ball Control COLO OKST
Rebounds 35.4 31.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.9 21.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 9.3
Turnovers 15.3 11.4
Blocked Shots 4.4 2.8
Steals 7.6 10.0
Fouls 17.4 19.1

Playing Style Advantage: Oklahoma St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COLO OKST
Total Possessions 72.9
Effective Scoring Chances 66.1 70.8
% of Possessions with COLO OKST
2 Point Attempt 37.3% 42.2%
3 Point Attempt 25.0% 22.9%
Player Fouled 26.3% 23.9%
Turnover 21.0% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 13.7% 10.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken COLO OKST
Shot Blocked 5.3% 8.7%
Offensive Rebound 28.2% 25.7%