NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COLO ORE
Points 77.5 75.9
Total Points   153.3
Points From 2-Pointers 41.7 44.2
Points From 3-Pointers 20.7 19.5
Points From Free Throws 15.1 12.1
Shooting COLO ORE
Field Goals Made 27.7 28.6
Field Goals Attempted 55.5 60.2
Field Goal % 50.0% 47.6%
2 Pointers Made 20.8 22.1
2 Pointers Attempted 38.1 38.9
2 Point Shooting % 54.7% 56.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 17.4 21.3
3 Point Shooting % 39.7% 30.6%
Free Throws Made 15.1 12.1
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 16.6
Free Throw % 76.0% 72.9%
Ball Control COLO ORE
Rebounds 34.4 29.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.1 21.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 7.9
Turnovers 11.8 8.5
Blocked Shots 2.1 4.2
Steals 4.8 7.2
Fouls 13.8 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Colorado

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COLO ORE
Total Possessions 70.8
Effective Scoring Chances 67.3 70.2
% of Possessions with COLO ORE
2 Point Attempt 47.2% 48.9%
3 Point Attempt 21.6% 26.7%
Player Fouled 21.6% 19.5%
Turnover 16.6% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 10.1% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken COLO ORE
Shot Blocked 7.1% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 23.2%