NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COLO CAL
Points 82.4 73.6
Total Points   156.0
Points From 2-Pointers 44.3 38.8
Points From 3-Pointers 21.5 23.1
Points From Free Throws 16.5 11.6
Shooting COLO CAL
Field Goals Made 29.3 27.1
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 63.1
Field Goal % 50.2% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 22.2 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 40.8 38.1
2 Point Shooting % 54.4% 51.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 17.7 25.0
3 Point Shooting % 40.5% 30.9%
Free Throws Made 16.5 11.6
Free Throws Attempted 21.7 15.9
Free Throw % 76.0% 73.2%
Ball Control COLO CAL
Rebounds 38.3 31.9
Rebounds - Defensive 29.6 23.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 8.6
Turnovers 10.3 8.9
Blocked Shots 2.2 3.1
Steals 4.9 6.1
Fouls 12.7 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Colorado

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COLO CAL
Total Possessions 73.1
Effective Scoring Chances 71.5 72.8
% of Possessions with COLO CAL
2 Point Attempt 49.1% 46.1%
3 Point Attempt 21.3% 30.2%
Player Fouled 21.8% 17.4%
Turnover 14.1% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken COLO CAL
Shot Blocked 5.0% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 27.2% 22.6%