NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COLO ARIZ
Points 76.3 84.7
Total Points   161.0
Points From 2-Pointers 42.4 50.2
Points From 3-Pointers 20.7 20.0
Points From Free Throws 13.2 14.4
Shooting COLO ARIZ
Field Goals Made 28.1 31.8
Field Goals Attempted 59.7 62.9
Field Goal % 47.1% 50.5%
2 Pointers Made 21.2 25.1
2 Pointers Attempted 41.1 43.0
2 Point Shooting % 51.5% 58.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 18.6 19.9
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 33.5%
Free Throws Made 13.2 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 17.4 20.3
Free Throw % 76.0% 71.0%
Ball Control COLO ARIZ
Rebounds 32.5 35.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 9.9
Turnovers 12.9 9.4
Blocked Shots 2.2 4.2
Steals 5.7 8.4
Fouls 14.6 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Colorado

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COLO ARIZ
Total Possessions 75.0
Effective Scoring Chances 70.0 75.5
% of Possessions with COLO ARIZ
2 Point Attempt 48.6% 50.1%
3 Point Attempt 22.0% 23.2%
Player Fouled 20.4% 19.4%
Turnover 17.1% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 11.2% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken COLO ARIZ
Shot Blocked 6.8% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 23.3% 28.7%