NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MSST TAM
Points 76.4 74.8
Total Points   151.2
Points From 2-Pointers 37.9 37.5
Points From 3-Pointers 25.6 20.7
Points From Free Throws 12.9 16.6
Shooting MSST TAM
Field Goals Made 27.5 25.6
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 63.4
Field Goal % 48.2% 40.5%
2 Pointers Made 19.0 18.8
2 Pointers Attempted 30.7 37.2
2 Point Shooting % 61.7% 50.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 26.3 26.2
3 Point Shooting % 32.4% 26.3%
Free Throws Made 12.9 16.6
Free Throws Attempted 19.7 23.3
Free Throw % 65.5% 71.3%
Ball Control MSST TAM
Rebounds 36.0 38.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 23.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 15.6
Turnovers 11.5 8.3
Blocked Shots 3.6 3.2
Steals 4.8 6.5
Fouls 15.9 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Texas A&M

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MSST TAM
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 69.3 77.8
% of Possessions with MSST TAM
2 Point Attempt 37.4% 42.5%
3 Point Attempt 32.0% 29.9%
Player Fouled 22.0% 22.5%
Turnover 16.3% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken MSST TAM
Shot Blocked 5.2% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 30.8% 37.6%