NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UGA TAM
Points 76.1 80.8
Total Points   156.9
Points From 2-Pointers 32.2 41.6
Points From 3-Pointers 30.1 23.4
Points From Free Throws 13.8 15.8
Shooting UGA TAM
Field Goals Made 26.1 28.6
Field Goals Attempted 58.3 68.7
Field Goal % 44.8% 41.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.1 20.8
2 Pointers Attempted 29.0 43.1
2 Point Shooting % 55.6% 48.4%
3 Pointers Made 10.0 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 29.4 25.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 30.4%
Free Throws Made 13.8 15.8
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 22.1
Free Throw % 71.6% 71.3%
Ball Control UGA TAM
Rebounds 34.2 44.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 16.9
Turnovers 10.6 7.2
Blocked Shots 3.8 3.8
Steals 3.7 6.3
Fouls 14.4 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Georgia

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UGA TAM
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 69.6 82.2
% of Possessions with UGA TAM
2 Point Attempt 35.4% 47.4%
3 Point Attempt 36.0% 28.2%
Player Fouled 21.6% 19.9%
Turnover 14.6% 9.9%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 5.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken UGA TAM
Shot Blocked 5.7% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 21.9% 38.9%