NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AAMU CIN
Points 54.9 82.6
Total Points   137.6
Points From 2-Pointers 30.3 40.3
Points From 3-Pointers 9.7 24.9
Points From Free Throws 14.9 17.5
Shooting AAMU CIN
Field Goals Made 18.4 28.4
Field Goals Attempted 54.9 62.1
Field Goal % 33.5% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 15.2 20.1
2 Pointers Attempted 43.0 38.5
2 Point Shooting % 35.3% 52.3%
3 Pointers Made 3.2 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 11.9 23.6
3 Point Shooting % 27.1% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 14.9 17.5
Free Throws Attempted 20.6 25.4
Free Throw % 72.3% 68.9%
Ball Control AAMU CIN
Rebounds 30.1 47.1
Rebounds - Defensive 21.2 30.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 17.0
Turnovers 14.6 11.0
Blocked Shots 2.9 5.7
Steals 6.1 8.3
Fouls 16.7 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Cincinnati

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AAMU CIN
Total Possessions 72.8
Effective Scoring Chances 67.1 78.8
% of Possessions with AAMU CIN
2 Point Attempt 51.2% 42.3%
3 Point Attempt 14.2% 26.0%
Player Fouled 19.9% 23.0%
Turnover 20.0% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 11.4% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken AAMU CIN
Shot Blocked 9.2% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 22.8% 44.5%