NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BRY CIN
Points 65.8 79.6
Total Points   145.4
Points From 2-Pointers 33.4 41.8
Points From 3-Pointers 21.4 23.4
Points From Free Throws 11.0 14.5
Shooting BRY CIN
Field Goals Made 23.9 28.7
Field Goals Attempted 61.3 70.4
Field Goal % 38.9% 40.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.7 20.9
2 Pointers Attempted 39.2 45.8
2 Point Shooting % 42.6% 45.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 22.1 24.6
3 Point Shooting % 32.2% 31.7%
Free Throws Made 11.0 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 16.3 21.0
Free Throw % 67.6% 68.9%
Ball Control BRY CIN
Rebounds 34.2 50.7
Rebounds - Defensive 27.8 33.5
Rebounds - Offensive 6.3 17.2
Turnovers 12.0 9.7
Blocked Shots 4.7 5.1
Steals 5.2 7.1
Fouls 13.4 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: Bryant

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BRY CIN
Total Possessions 76.0
Effective Scoring Chances 70.3 83.4
% of Possessions with BRY CIN
2 Point Attempt 46.5% 48.2%
3 Point Attempt 26.2% 25.9%
Player Fouled 17.9% 17.7%
Turnover 15.8% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken BRY CIN
Shot Blocked 7.4% 7.8%
Offensive Rebound 15.9% 38.1%