NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BRY BING
Points 78.4 67.5
Total Points   145.9
Points From 2-Pointers 39.6 35.5
Points From 3-Pointers 24.1 16.9
Points From Free Throws 14.7 15.1
Shooting BRY BING
Field Goals Made 27.8 23.4
Field Goals Attempted 61.1 63.0
Field Goal % 45.6% 37.1%
2 Pointers Made 19.8 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 37.6 43.4
2 Point Shooting % 52.7% 40.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 23.5 19.6
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 28.9%
Free Throws Made 14.7 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.7 22.7
Free Throw % 67.6% 66.4%
Ball Control BRY BING
Rebounds 38.5 41.7
Rebounds - Defensive 31.8 30.5
Rebounds - Offensive 6.7 11.1
Turnovers 8.8 11.4
Blocked Shots 7.9 3.0
Steals 5.9 4.8
Fouls 15.4 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Bryant

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BRY BING
Total Possessions 75.8
Effective Scoring Chances 73.7 75.5
% of Possessions with BRY BING
2 Point Attempt 44.9% 48.2%
3 Point Attempt 28.1% 21.7%
Player Fouled 21.8% 20.4%
Turnover 11.6% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken BRY BING
Shot Blocked 5.0% 13.1%
Offensive Rebound 18.0% 25.9%