NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LT SHSU
Points 72.7 65.1
Total Points   137.8
Points From 2-Pointers 35.2 29.4
Points From 3-Pointers 20.0 21.3
Points From Free Throws 17.5 14.4
Shooting LT SHSU
Field Goals Made 24.3 21.8
Field Goals Attempted 53.1 58.3
Field Goal % 45.8% 37.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 14.7
2 Pointers Attempted 33.8 38.0
2 Point Shooting % 52.1% 38.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 19.2 20.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 17.5 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 24.9 20.0
Free Throw % 70.3% 72.3%
Ball Control LT SHSU
Rebounds 38.8 33.4
Rebounds - Defensive 28.5 22.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 10.6
Turnovers 11.3 10.4
Blocked Shots 5.0 2.0
Steals 5.7 6.1
Fouls 14.9 17.4

Playing Style Advantage: LA Tech

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LT SHSU
Total Possessions 69.9
Effective Scoring Chances 68.9 70.1
% of Possessions with LT SHSU
2 Point Attempt 41.8% 46.1%
3 Point Attempt 23.8% 24.6%
Player Fouled 24.9% 21.3%
Turnover 16.2% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken LT SHSU
Shot Blocked 3.5% 9.6%
Offensive Rebound 31.1% 27.0%