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Butler at Baylor
Tue Dec 10, 2019
9:00pm ET
Waco, TX
Butler at Baylor: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Baylor by 6, Total Points: 131.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | BUT | adv | BAY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 14-18-0 | 20-12-2 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-14-0 | 11-8-1 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 6-11-0 | 10-5-1 | |
| Away | 8-7-0 | 10-7-1 |
Butler Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | E Michigan | -16.0 | W by 39 | +23.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | SE Missouri | -20.0 | W by 35 | +15.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | E Tenn St | -17.0 | W by 34 | +17.0 |
| 11/17 | Away | Michigan St | +10.0 | L by 20 | -10.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Fla Atlantic | +6.5 | L by 5 | +1.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Penn St | (Pick) | W by 10 | +10.0 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | Boise St | +1.5 | W by 14 | +15.5 |
| 11/30 | Home | Texas Tech | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Buffalo | -24.5 | W by 13 | -11.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | California | -8.5 | W by 7 | -1.5 |
| 12/15 | Home | Saginaw Valley | -- | W by 26 | -- |
| 12/19 | Home | Georgetown | -10.5 | W by 10 | -0.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | Providence | +6.0 | L by 10 | -4.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | St Johns | +6.5 | L by 16 | -9.5 |
| 01/05 | Home | Connecticut | +5.0 | L by 7 | -2.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Marquette | +11.5 | W by 7 | +18.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Seton Hall | -4.0 | L by 6 | -10.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | Xavier | +5.5 | L by 14 | -8.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | DePaul | -16.5 | W by 14 | -2.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Georgetown | -3.5 | W by 24 | +20.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Villanova | -1.5 | W by 7 | +5.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Creighton | +10.0 | W by 1 | +11.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | Connecticut | +14.0 | L by 9 | +5.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Providence | -6.0 | W by 3 | -3.0 |
| 02/13 | Home | Marquette | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Creighton | +2.5 | L by 22 | -19.5 |
| 02/20 | Away | Villanova | +6.5 | L by 10 | -3.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Seton Hall | +6.0 | L by 12 | -6.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | St Johns | (Pick) | L by 23 | -23.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | DePaul | -12.0 | W by 19 | +7.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Xavier | -2.5 | W by 6 | +3.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Xavier | +2.0 | L by 4 | -2.0 |
| 03/19 | Home | Minnesota | -4.5 | L by 1 | -5.5 |
Baylor Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Neutral | Auburn | +2.0 | W by 6 | +8.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | John Brown | -- | W by 26 | -- |
| 11/12 | Home | Gard-Webb | -22.5 | W by 15 | -7.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Kansas City | -24.5 | W by 38 | +13.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Oregon St | -16.0 | W by 16 | 0.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Florida | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Nicholls | -26.5 | W by 38 | +11.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | NW State | -34.0 | W by 51 | +17.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Seton Hall | -11.0 | W by 18 | +7.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Michigan St | -3.5 | L by 24 | -27.5 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Duke | +2.0 | L by 8 | -6.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Miss Val St | -40.5 | W by 59 | +18.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Cornell | -16.0 | W by 19 | +3.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Oklahoma St | -4.0 | W by 5 | +1.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | BYU | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Cincinnati | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Kansas St | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Texas | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | TX Christian | -4.0 | L by 3 | -7.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | UCF | -3.5 | W by 8 | +4.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Iowa St | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Texas Tech | -6.0 | W by 6 | 0.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Kansas | +5.5 | L by 3 | +2.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Oklahoma | -7.0 | W by 17 | +10.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | W Virginia | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 02/20 | Away | BYU | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Houston | +2.5 | L by 6 | -3.5 |
| 02/26 | Away | TX Christian | +2.5 | W by 8 | +10.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Kansas | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | Texas | -7.0 | W by 8 | +1.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Texas Tech | +2.0 | L by 10 | -8.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Cincinnati | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Iowa St | +2.0 | L by 14 | -12.0 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Colgate | -14.5 | W by 25 | +10.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Clemson | -4.5 | L by 8 | -12.5 |
| BAY -6.0 | Open | -5.0 | High | -6.0 |
| Last | -5.5 | Low | -5.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2670 games where the closing line favored the home team by 5 to 7 points. In these games:
- The team like Baylor won the game 1913 times (71.6%).
- The team like Butler won the game 757 times (28.4%).
- The team like Baylor did better against the spread, going 1333-1271-66 (51.2% ATS).
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2734 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Butler did better against the spread, going 1381-1302-51 (51.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -6.0 | -6.0 | -6.0 |
| Open | -5.0 | -5.0 | -5.0 |
| History | |||
| 12/10 08:39 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 08:24 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 12/10 07:54 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 12/10 07:43 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 07:25 PM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 12/10 06:55 PM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 12/10 06:48 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 06:04 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 06:04 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 12/10 05:08 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 04:55 PM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 12/10 04:54 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 12/10 04:44 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 12/10 04:41 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 03:15 PM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 12/10 03:07 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 02:55 PM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 12/10 12:05 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 10:15 AM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 12/10 10:14 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 12/10 10:07 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 09:45 AM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 12/10 09:44 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 12/10 09:36 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 09:03 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 08:10 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 07:50 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 04:46 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 03:11 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 02:20 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 01:25 AM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 12/09 06:14 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 12/09 06:05 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
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