NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring YALE BRWN
Points 72.9 61.6
Total Points   134.5
Points From 2-Pointers 34.4 28.1
Points From 3-Pointers 26.1 20.6
Points From Free Throws 12.4 12.8
Shooting YALE BRWN
Field Goals Made 25.9 20.9
Field Goals Attempted 56.1 58.3
Field Goal % 46.1% 35.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 14.1
2 Pointers Attempted 33.3 34.2
2 Point Shooting % 51.7% 41.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.7 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 22.8 24.1
3 Point Shooting % 38.0% 28.4%
Free Throws Made 12.4 12.8
Free Throws Attempted 17.3 17.3
Free Throw % 71.9% 74.3%
Ball Control YALE BRWN
Rebounds 38.3 33.8
Rebounds - Defensive 30.3 24.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 9.1
Turnovers 13.1 12.0
Blocked Shots 4.1 4.0
Steals 6.8 6.7
Fouls 15.3 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Yale

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats YALE BRWN
Total Possessions 71.7
Effective Scoring Chances 66.6 68.8
% of Possessions with YALE BRWN
2 Point Attempt 40.9% 41.4%
3 Point Attempt 28.1% 29.3%
Player Fouled 21.0% 21.4%
Turnover 18.3% 16.8%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken YALE BRWN
Shot Blocked 6.9% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 23.1%