NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring YALE BRWN
Points 72.1 66.8
Total Points   138.8
Points From 2-Pointers 39.9 30.1
Points From 3-Pointers 19.6 24.8
Points From Free Throws 12.6 11.8
Shooting YALE BRWN
Field Goals Made 26.5 23.3
Field Goals Attempted 58.3 56.1
Field Goal % 45.4% 41.6%
2 Pointers Made 20.0 15.1
2 Pointers Attempted 38.8 32.3
2 Point Shooting % 51.4% 46.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 19.5 23.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.5% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 12.6 11.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.0 18.2
Free Throw % 69.8% 65.0%
Ball Control YALE BRWN
Rebounds 35.9 34.9
Rebounds - Defensive 26.7 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 9.5
Turnovers 8.9 10.7
Blocked Shots 3.4 4.0
Steals 6.0 4.7
Fouls 14.8 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Brown

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats YALE BRWN
Total Possessions 68.5
Effective Scoring Chances 68.9 67.3
% of Possessions with YALE BRWN
2 Point Attempt 49.0% 40.6%
3 Point Attempt 24.5% 30.0%
Player Fouled 21.9% 21.7%
Turnover 13.0% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken YALE BRWN
Shot Blocked 7.3% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 26.7% 26.3%