NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DRKE MOSU
Points 76.4 70.7
Total Points   147.1
Points From 2-Pointers 37.3 38.8
Points From 3-Pointers 25.9 19.1
Points From Free Throws 13.1 12.9
Shooting DRKE MOSU
Field Goals Made 27.3 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 62.8 58.1
Field Goal % 43.5% 44.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 38.1 37.2
2 Point Shooting % 49.0% 52.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 24.7 20.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 30.4%
Free Throws Made 13.1 12.9
Free Throws Attempted 17.6 18.3
Free Throw % 74.8% 70.3%
Ball Control DRKE MOSU
Rebounds 34.6 38.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 29.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 8.9
Turnovers 7.0 10.9
Blocked Shots 2.0 3.5
Steals 5.8 3.6
Fouls 14.4 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Missouri St

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DRKE MOSU
Total Possessions 71.7
Effective Scoring Chances 72.7 69.7
% of Possessions with DRKE MOSU
2 Point Attempt 46.9% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 30.4% 25.7%
Player Fouled 20.1% 20.1%
Turnover 9.7% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 5.0% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken DRKE MOSU
Shot Blocked 6.1% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 21.2% 25.0%