NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring YALE DART
Points 74.2 58.2
Total Points   132.3
Points From 2-Pointers 38.4 26.4
Points From 3-Pointers 26.1 22.5
Points From Free Throws 9.6 9.3
Shooting YALE DART
Field Goals Made 27.9 20.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.8 52.0
Field Goal % 47.5% 39.8%
2 Pointers Made 19.2 13.2
2 Pointers Attempted 36.3 29.2
2 Point Shooting % 53.0% 45.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.7 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 22.5 22.8
3 Point Shooting % 38.6% 32.9%
Free Throws Made 9.6 9.3
Free Throws Attempted 13.8 14.0
Free Throw % 69.8% 66.3%
Ball Control YALE DART
Rebounds 35.5 31.1
Rebounds - Defensive 28.4 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 5.3
Turnovers 6.9 11.6
Blocked Shots 3.5 3.2
Steals 7.0 3.5
Fouls 13.7 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: Dartmouth

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats YALE DART
Total Possessions 66.4
Effective Scoring Chances 66.6 60.1
% of Possessions with YALE DART
2 Point Attempt 48.5% 40.0%
3 Point Attempt 30.1% 31.2%
Player Fouled 19.5% 20.7%
Turnover 10.4% 17.4%
Opponent Steal 5.2% 10.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken YALE DART
Shot Blocked 6.2% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 21.6% 15.6%