NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BUT DEP
Points 85.2 67.2
Total Points   152.4
Points From 2-Pointers 41.2 37.8
Points From 3-Pointers 31.6 19.1
Points From Free Throws 12.4 10.3
Shooting BUT DEP
Field Goals Made 31.1 25.3
Field Goals Attempted 61.3 58.3
Field Goal % 50.8% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made 20.6 18.9
2 Pointers Attempted 34.6 38.8
2 Point Shooting % 59.4% 48.7%
3 Pointers Made 10.5 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 26.7 19.5
3 Point Shooting % 39.6% 32.8%
Free Throws Made 12.4 10.3
Free Throws Attempted 15.5 13.9
Free Throw % 80.1% 73.8%
Ball Control BUT DEP
Rebounds 35.9 30.5
Rebounds - Defensive 27.7 23.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 7.0
Turnovers 9.1 11.9
Blocked Shots 3.5 2.9
Steals 6.6 5.8
Fouls 13.1 12.4

Playing Style Advantage: DePaul

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BUT DEP
Total Possessions 71.5
Effective Scoring Chances 70.5 66.6
% of Possessions with BUT DEP
2 Point Attempt 42.9% 48.6%
3 Point Attempt 33.0% 24.3%
Player Fouled 17.4% 18.3%
Turnover 12.8% 16.7%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken BUT DEP
Shot Blocked 5.1% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 25.8% 20.2%