NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LT CREI
Points 63.8 78.1
Total Points   141.9
Points From 2-Pointers 38.8 31.7
Points From 3-Pointers 16.3 32.8
Points From Free Throws 8.6 13.5
Shooting LT CREI
Field Goals Made 24.9 26.8
Field Goals Attempted 67.5 58.1
Field Goal % 36.9% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 19.4 15.9
2 Pointers Attempted 51.4 30.1
2 Point Shooting % 37.8% 52.7%
3 Pointers Made 5.4 10.9
3 Pointers Attempted 16.1 28.0
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 39.1%
Free Throws Made 8.6 13.5
Free Throws Attempted 12.3 16.7
Free Throw % 70.3% 80.8%
Ball Control LT CREI
Rebounds 37.1 39.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.6 32.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 7.2
Turnovers 7.2 9.6
Blocked Shots 3.7 3.9
Steals 5.8 3.6
Fouls 13.6 10.7

Playing Style Advantage: Creighton

Expected Effect: +1.0 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LT CREI
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 74.5 67.8
% of Possessions with LT CREI
2 Point Attempt 61.6% 38.2%
3 Point Attempt 19.4% 35.5%
Player Fouled 15.2% 19.3%
Turnover 10.2% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 5.1% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken LT CREI
Shot Blocked 6.9% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 26.2% 21.8%