NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DRKE BRAD
Points 70.9 72.7
Total Points   143.5
Points From 2-Pointers 31.3 35.9
Points From 3-Pointers 23.3 25.2
Points From Free Throws 16.2 11.6
Shooting DRKE BRAD
Field Goals Made 23.4 26.4
Field Goals Attempted 56.3 56.3
Field Goal % 41.6% 46.8%
2 Pointers Made 15.7 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 34.4 32.7
2 Point Shooting % 45.5% 54.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 21.9 23.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 16.2 11.6
Free Throws Attempted 21.6 15.6
Free Throw % 74.8% 74.3%
Ball Control DRKE BRAD
Rebounds 33.2 34.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 7.7
Turnovers 9.5 11.3
Blocked Shots 1.0 3.4
Steals 6.2 5.8
Fouls 13.5 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Drake

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DRKE BRAD
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 69.2 66.5
% of Possessions with DRKE BRAD
2 Point Attempt 43.0% 41.8%
3 Point Attempt 27.4% 30.2%
Player Fouled 21.9% 19.3%
Turnover 13.5% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken DRKE BRAD
Shot Blocked 6.0% 1.8%
Offensive Rebound 24.0% 23.8%