NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DRKE BEL
Points 79.4 75.3
Total Points   154.7
Points From 2-Pointers 40.1 35.8
Points From 3-Pointers 25.2 26.5
Points From Free Throws 14.1 13.0
Shooting DRKE BEL
Field Goals Made 28.4 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 61.0 57.0
Field Goal % 46.6% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 20.0 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 36.9 32.5
2 Point Shooting % 54.3% 55.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 24.1 24.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 14.1 13.0
Free Throws Attempted 18.9 17.8
Free Throw % 74.8% 73.1%
Ball Control DRKE BEL
Rebounds 35.1 33.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.0 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.1 6.0
Turnovers 9.1 11.6
Blocked Shots 1.7 2.2
Steals 6.4 5.9
Fouls 14.8 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Belmont

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DRKE BEL
Total Possessions 73.5
Effective Scoring Chances 72.5 67.9
% of Possessions with DRKE BEL
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 40.5%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 30.5%
Player Fouled 20.2% 20.2%
Turnover 12.4% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken DRKE BEL
Shot Blocked 3.9% 2.8%
Offensive Rebound 23.0% 18.1%