NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AAMU SAM
Points 65.0 84.2
Total Points   149.1
Points From 2-Pointers 34.1 32.6
Points From 3-Pointers 10.5 30.3
Points From Free Throws 20.4 21.3
Shooting AAMU SAM
Field Goals Made 20.5 26.4
Field Goals Attempted 51.1 55.5
Field Goal % 40.1% 47.6%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 16.3
2 Pointers Attempted 38.3 30.8
2 Point Shooting % 44.4% 52.9%
3 Pointers Made 3.5 10.1
3 Pointers Attempted 12.8 24.7
3 Point Shooting % 27.4% 40.9%
Free Throws Made 20.4 21.3
Free Throws Attempted 28.3 30.1
Free Throw % 72.3% 70.7%
Ball Control AAMU SAM
Rebounds 34.0 35.1
Rebounds - Defensive 23.3 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 10.9
Turnovers 17.7 13.1
Blocked Shots 3.7 3.7
Steals 7.5 10.6
Fouls 21.1 19.0

Playing Style Advantage: Alab A&M

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AAMU SAM
Total Possessions 76.3
Effective Scoring Chances 69.3 74.1
% of Possessions with AAMU SAM
2 Point Attempt 43.3% 34.8%
3 Point Attempt 14.4% 27.8%
Player Fouled 24.9% 27.6%
Turnover 23.3% 17.2%
Opponent Steal 14.0% 9.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken AAMU SAM
Shot Blocked 6.8% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 30.7% 31.8%