NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BRY HOU
Points 56.4 80.9
Total Points   137.3
Points From 2-Pointers 23.6 39.8
Points From 3-Pointers 20.1 24.2
Points From Free Throws 12.7 16.9
Shooting BRY HOU
Field Goals Made 18.5 28.0
Field Goals Attempted 52.7 68.8
Field Goal % 35.1% 40.6%
2 Pointers Made 11.8 19.9
2 Pointers Attempted 29.7 45.0
2 Point Shooting % 39.7% 44.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 23.0 23.9
3 Point Shooting % 29.1% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 12.7 16.9
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 23.7
Free Throw % 67.6% 71.1%
Ball Control BRY HOU
Rebounds 33.6 48.0
Rebounds - Defensive 27.0 30.4
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 17.6
Turnovers 15.8 6.9
Blocked Shots 3.5 5.7
Steals 3.7 10.5
Fouls 14.2 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Houston

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BRY HOU
Total Possessions 72.7
Effective Scoring Chances 63.6 83.4
% of Possessions with BRY HOU
2 Point Attempt 36.4% 49.0%
3 Point Attempt 28.2% 26.0%
Player Fouled 22.0% 19.5%
Turnover 21.7% 9.5%
Opponent Steal 14.5% 5.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken BRY HOU
Shot Blocked 8.4% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 17.9% 39.4%