NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BUT BYU
Points 74.1 82.5
Total Points   156.6
Points From 2-Pointers 36.9 41.9
Points From 3-Pointers 23.3 31.7
Points From Free Throws 13.9 9.0
Shooting BUT BYU
Field Goals Made 26.2 31.5
Field Goals Attempted 59.4 67.4
Field Goal % 44.1% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 20.9
2 Pointers Attempted 37.2 36.2
2 Point Shooting % 49.6% 57.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 10.6
3 Pointers Attempted 22.2 31.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 13.9 9.0
Free Throws Attempted 17.4 12.4
Free Throw % 80.1% 72.5%
Ball Control BUT BYU
Rebounds 32.9 39.6
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 28.5
Rebounds - Offensive 6.3 11.2
Turnovers 9.8 8.6
Blocked Shots 2.1 3.4
Steals 4.6 6.2
Fouls 11.4 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: BYU

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BUT BYU
Total Possessions 72.9
Effective Scoring Chances 69.4 75.4
% of Possessions with BUT BYU
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 42.7%
3 Point Attempt 27.5% 36.8%
Player Fouled 20.7% 15.6%
Turnover 13.5% 11.9%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken BUT BYU
Shot Blocked 5.1% 3.6%
Offensive Rebound 18.2% 29.6%