NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GONZ WSU
Points 86.4 69.5
Total Points   155.9
Points From 2-Pointers 50.9 27.6
Points From 3-Pointers 20.7 29.1
Points From Free Throws 14.8 12.8
Shooting GONZ WSU
Field Goals Made 32.4 23.5
Field Goals Attempted 62.1 54.9
Field Goal % 52.1% 42.8%
2 Pointers Made 25.5 13.8
2 Pointers Attempted 43.3 28.6
2 Point Shooting % 58.8% 48.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 9.7
3 Pointers Attempted 18.8 26.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 14.8 12.8
Free Throws Attempted 21.9 17.3
Free Throw % 67.7% 74.0%
Ball Control GONZ WSU
Rebounds 37.1 30.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.7 23.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 7.2
Turnovers 7.4 13.8
Blocked Shots 2.5 1.9
Steals 8.0 4.1
Fouls 15.4 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Washington St

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GONZ WSU
Total Possessions 72.4
Effective Scoring Chances 75.5 65.8
% of Possessions with GONZ WSU
2 Point Attempt 51.8% 35.4%
3 Point Attempt 22.5% 32.7%
Player Fouled 22.7% 21.2%
Turnover 10.2% 19.1%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 11.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken GONZ WSU
Shot Blocked 3.6% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 30.8% 21.4%