NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GONZ WSU
Points 90.7 71.9
Total Points   162.5
Points From 2-Pointers 49.2 36.0
Points From 3-Pointers 24.4 23.7
Points From Free Throws 17.0 12.1
Shooting GONZ WSU
Field Goals Made 32.7 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 65.7 57.7
Field Goal % 49.8% 45.0%
2 Pointers Made 24.6 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 43.2 33.4
2 Point Shooting % 57.0% 54.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 22.5 24.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 32.6%
Free Throws Made 17.0 12.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.6 17.5
Free Throw % 79.0% 69.2%
Ball Control GONZ WSU
Rebounds 39.0 31.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.3 22.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.7 8.4
Turnovers 8.9 14.6
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.5
Steals 8.3 4.7
Fouls 15.9 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Gonzaga

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GONZ WSU
Total Possessions 75.0
Effective Scoring Chances 78.8 68.8
% of Possessions with GONZ WSU
2 Point Attempt 48.5% 39.5%
3 Point Attempt 25.3% 28.7%
Player Fouled 22.3% 21.2%
Turnover 11.8% 19.4%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 11.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken GONZ WSU
Shot Blocked 6.2% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 35.9% 24.2%