NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LT WYO
Points 74.3 67.6
Total Points   141.9
Points From 2-Pointers 37.6 28.1
Points From 3-Pointers 22.4 23.1
Points From Free Throws 14.2 16.4
Shooting LT WYO
Field Goals Made 26.3 21.8
Field Goals Attempted 58.2 54.4
Field Goal % 45.2% 40.0%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 14.1
2 Pointers Attempted 37.7 33.8
2 Point Shooting % 49.9% 41.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 20.5 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.4% 37.4%
Free Throws Made 14.2 16.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 21.8
Free Throw % 70.3% 75.2%
Ball Control LT WYO
Rebounds 38.7 31.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.9 23.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 8.1
Turnovers 9.8 10.6
Blocked Shots 5.7 2.2
Steals 7.3 4.9
Fouls 16.4 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Wyoming

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LT WYO
Total Possessions 69.1
Effective Scoring Chances 71.2 66.7
% of Possessions with LT WYO
2 Point Attempt 46.1% 42.5%
3 Point Attempt 25.1% 25.9%
Player Fouled 21.0% 23.7%
Turnover 14.2% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 10.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken LT WYO
Shot Blocked 4.3% 10.0%
Offensive Rebound 33.5% 23.2%