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Miss State at Alabama
Sat Jan 23, 2021
6:00pm ET
Tuscaloosa, AL
Miss State at Alabama: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Alabama by 9.5, Total Points: 149
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MSST | adv | ALA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 17-17-1 | 21-16-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-11-1 | 10-9-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 6-8-1 | 11-5-0 | |
| Away | 11-9-0 | 10-11-0 |
Miss State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Neutral | Arizona St | -4.0 | W by 15 | +11.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | TN Martin | -21.5 | W by 24 | +2.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | N Alabama | -18.0 | W by 27 | +9.0 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Wash State | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Northwestern | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Nicholls | -23.0 | W by 13 | -10.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | GA Tech | -8.5 | L by 8 | -16.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | Southern | -26.0 | L by 1 | -27.0 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Tulane | -6.5 | W by 30 | +23.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Murray St | -16.0 | W by 4 | -12.0 |
| 12/17 | Neutral | North Texas | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Rutgers | -3.0 | W by 10 | +7.0 |
| 12/31 | Home | Beth-Cook | -30.5 | W by 23 | -7.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | S Carolina | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Tennessee | +2.0 | W by 5 | +7.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Alabama | -1.0 | L by 8 | -9.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Kentucky | +6.5 | L by 13 | -6.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Vanderbilt | -13.0 | W by 13 | 0.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Florida | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Auburn | +3.0 | W by 6 | +9.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Mississippi | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Alabama | +8.5 | L by 32 | -23.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Georgia | -9.0 | W by 13 | +4.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Missouri | -7.5 | W by 24 | +16.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Arkansas | -11.0 | W by 4 | -7.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Mississippi | -6.5 | W by 12 | +5.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | LSU | -3.5 | W by 20 | +16.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Kentucky | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Auburn | +10.5 | L by 15 | -4.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Texas A&M | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | S Carolina | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | LSU | -5.0 | W by 10 | +5.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Tennessee | +9.5 | W by 17 | +26.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Auburn | +8.0 | L by 7 | +1.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Michigan St | +1.5 | L by 18 | -16.5 |
Alabama Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Morehead St | -22.0 | W by 32 | +10.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Indiana St | -17.0 | W by 22 | +5.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | S Alabama | -20.5 | W by 56 | +35.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Mercer | -30.5 | W by 31 | +0.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Ohio St | -6.5 | L by 11 | -17.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Oregon | -8.5 | W by 8 | -0.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Clemson | -8.0 | L by 8 | -16.0 |
| 12/04 | Home | Arkansas St | -25.5 | W by 24 | -1.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Purdue | +5.5 | L by 6 | -0.5 |
| 12/16 | Away | Creighton | +7.5 | L by 3 | +4.5 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Arizona | +7.0 | L by 13 | -6.0 |
| 12/23 | Home | E Kentucky | -23.5 | W by 44 | +20.5 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Liberty | -9.5 | W by 45 | +35.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Vanderbilt | -13.0 | W by 3 | -10.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | S Carolina | -12.0 | W by 27 | +15.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Miss State | +1.0 | W by 8 | +9.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Missouri | -14.5 | W by 18 | +3.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Tennessee | +5.5 | L by 20 | -14.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Auburn | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | LSU | -12.5 | W by 21 | +8.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Georgia | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Miss State | -8.5 | W by 32 | +23.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Auburn | +5.5 | L by 18 | -12.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | LSU | -8.5 | W by 17 | +8.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Texas A&M | -8.0 | W by 25 | +17.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Florida | -10.0 | W by 5 | -5.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Kentucky | +2.5 | L by 22 | -19.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Mississippi | -5.5 | W by 15 | +9.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Tennessee | -4.5 | L by 7 | -11.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Florida | +2.5 | L by 18 | -15.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Arkansas | -15.5 | W by 4 | -11.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Florida | -4.5 | L by 14 | -18.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Col Charlestn | -8.0 | W by 13 | +5.0 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Grd Canyon | -5.5 | W by 11 | +5.5 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | N Carolina | +4.5 | W by 2 | +6.5 |
| 03/30 | Neutral | Clemson | -3.0 | W by 7 | +4.0 |
| 04/06 | Neutral | Connecticut | +10.0 | L by 14 | -4.0 |
| ALA -9.5 | Open | -13.5 | High | -13.5 |
| Last | -9.0 | Low | -9.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2118 games where the closing line favored the home team by 8.5 to 10.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Alabama won the game 1748 times (82.5%).
- The team like Mississippi State won the game 370 times (17.5%).
- The team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 1059-1027-32 (50.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 16 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 4 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 11-5 (68.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 6.9 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -9.5 | -9.5 | -9.5 |
| Open | -13.5 | -13.5 | -12.0 |
| History | |||
| 01/23 05:59 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 05:50 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 04:54 PM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 01/23 04:50 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 04:20 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 03:29 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 02:20 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 12:26 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 11:04 AM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 01/23 10:47 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 10:29 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 10:04 AM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 01/23 09:55 AM | -- | -- | -9.5 |
| 01/23 09:53 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 09:44 AM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 01/23 09:15 AM | -- | -- | -9.5 |
| 01/23 09:05 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 08:25 AM | -- | -- | -10.5 |
| 01/23 08:14 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 05:11 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 11:44 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 10:54 PM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 01/22 10:35 PM | -- | -- | -11.0 |
| 01/22 10:14 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 10:05 PM | -- | -- | -12.0 |
| 01/22 10:04 PM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 01/22 06:41 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 05:34 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 01/22 05:23 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
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