NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNCA CAMP
Points 79.3 69.0
Total Points   148.3
Points From 2-Pointers 36.4 32.7
Points From 3-Pointers 30.6 22.3
Points From Free Throws 12.2 13.9
Shooting UNCA CAMP
Field Goals Made 28.4 23.8
Field Goals Attempted 58.8 55.6
Field Goal % 48.3% 42.8%
2 Pointers Made 18.2 16.4
2 Pointers Attempted 32.4 34.0
2 Point Shooting % 56.2% 48.2%
3 Pointers Made 10.2 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 26.4 21.6
3 Point Shooting % 38.7% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 12.2 13.9
Free Throws Attempted 16.3 19.5
Free Throw % 75.0% 71.6%
Ball Control UNCA CAMP
Rebounds 36.1 31.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.1 23.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 7.4
Turnovers 10.3 11.1
Blocked Shots 4.7 1.9
Steals 5.6 5.6
Fouls 15.0 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: NC-Asheville

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNCA CAMP
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 69.1 66.8
% of Possessions with UNCA CAMP
2 Point Attempt 40.4% 42.6%
3 Point Attempt 32.9% 27.1%
Player Fouled 21.3% 21.3%
Turnover 14.6% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNCA CAMP
Shot Blocked 3.6% 8.0%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 21.3%