NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SCST LIB
Points 55.0 74.6
Total Points   129.6
Points From 2-Pointers 31.4 38.6
Points From 3-Pointers 11.9 21.7
Points From Free Throws 11.7 14.3
Shooting SCST LIB
Field Goals Made 19.6 26.5
Field Goals Attempted 50.7 50.3
Field Goal % 38.7% 52.7%
2 Pointers Made 15.7 19.3
2 Pointers Attempted 35.9 30.2
2 Point Shooting % 43.7% 63.9%
3 Pointers Made 4.0 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 14.8 20.1
3 Point Shooting % 26.7% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 11.7 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 16.0 20.1
Free Throw % 73.3% 71.0%
Ball Control SCST LIB
Rebounds 27.9 32.8
Rebounds - Defensive 21.0 26.5
Rebounds - Offensive 6.8 6.3
Turnovers 11.4 8.7
Blocked Shots 1.2 2.5
Steals 3.3 4.4
Fouls 17.4 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: S Car State

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SCST LIB
Total Possessions 65.1
Effective Scoring Chances 60.6 62.7
% of Possessions with SCST LIB
2 Point Attempt 49.2% 42.0%
3 Point Attempt 20.3% 28.0%
Player Fouled 20.8% 26.7%
Turnover 17.4% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 5.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken SCST LIB
Shot Blocked 5.1% 2.4%
Offensive Rebound 20.5% 23.1%