NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SCST LIB
Points 64.8 73.8
Total Points   138.6
Points From 2-Pointers 37.2 31.6
Points From 3-Pointers 15.3 29.0
Points From Free Throws 12.3 13.2
Shooting SCST LIB
Field Goals Made 23.7 25.4
Field Goals Attempted 56.9 52.7
Field Goal % 41.7% 48.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.6 15.8
2 Pointers Attempted 40.7 25.7
2 Point Shooting % 45.8% 61.3%
3 Pointers Made 5.1 9.7
3 Pointers Attempted 16.2 27.0
3 Point Shooting % 31.4% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 12.3 13.2
Free Throws Attempted 17.6 20.5
Free Throw % 70.0% 64.5%
Ball Control SCST LIB
Rebounds 34.5 32.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 25.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 7.4
Turnovers 11.9 12.1
Blocked Shots 3.7 2.5
Steals 6.3 5.1
Fouls 18.3 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: S Car State

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SCST LIB
Total Possessions 69.7
Effective Scoring Chances 68.4 65.0
% of Possessions with SCST LIB
2 Point Attempt 50.1% 32.8%
3 Point Attempt 20.0% 34.3%
Player Fouled 20.7% 26.3%
Turnover 17.1% 17.3%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken SCST LIB
Shot Blocked 4.9% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 29.3% 23.5%