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NC-Asheville at Dayton
Sat Dec 10, 2022
2:00pm ET
Dayton, OH
NC-Asheville at Dayton: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Dayton by 10.5, Total Points: 136
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UNCA | adv | DAY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 15-15-1 | 16-16-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-8-0 | 9-10-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 7-4-0 | 6-9-0 | |
| Away | 8-11-1 | 10-7-1 |
NC-Asheville Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Away | Michigan | +10.5 | L by 25 | -14.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | NC-Wilmgton | +2.5 | L by 17 | -14.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Piedmont International | -- | W by 63 | -- |
| 11/18 | Home | Virginia-Lynchburg | -- | W by 55 | -- |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Lipscomb | -3.5 | L by 11 | -14.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Wofford | -4.5 | W by 3 | -1.5 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | W Kentucky | +6.0 | W by 10 | +16.0 |
| 12/01 | Home | Johnson University | -- | W by 46 | -- |
| 12/05 | Away | Kennesaw St | +3.0 | L by 3 | 0.0 |
| 12/09 | Away | W Carolina | +3.5 | L by 15 | -11.5 |
| 12/13 | Neutral | Auburn | +19.5 | L by 25 | -5.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | S Car State | -13.5 | W by 4 | -9.5 |
| 12/21 | Neutral | App State | +10.0 | W by 13 | +23.0 |
| 12/23 | Home | Kennesaw St | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 12/29 | Away | UAB | +6.5 | L by 5 | +1.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | SC Upstate | -10.0 | W by 28 | +18.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Presbyterian | -5.0 | W by 4 | -1.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | High Point | +6.5 | L by 5 | +1.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Longwood | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | Winthrop | +4.0 | W by 5 | +9.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Radford | -6.0 | W by 12 | +6.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Charl South | -10.0 | W by 6 | -4.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Gard-Webb | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Winthrop | -2.0 | W by 4 | +2.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | High Point | +1.0 | W by 5 | +6.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | SC Upstate | -5.0 | W by 13 | +8.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | Presbyterian | -10.5 | W by 2 | -8.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Charl South | -12.0 | W by 31 | +19.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Longwood | +1.0 | L by 5 | -4.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Gard-Webb | -6.5 | L by 1 | -7.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Radford | -1.5 | W by 9 | +7.5 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | Charl South | -12.5 | W by 5 | -7.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Gard-Webb | -4.0 | W by 11 | +7.0 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | Longwood | -3.5 | L by 26 | -29.5 |
Dayton Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | SIU Edward | -17.5 | W by 16 | -1.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | Northwestern | +5.0 | L by 5 | 0.0 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | LSU | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | St Johns | -1.0 | W by 7 | +6.0 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Houston | +12.5 | L by 14 | -1.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Youngs St | -14.5 | W by 8 | -6.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | S Methodist | +1.0 | W by 2 | +3.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Grambling St | -21.5 | W by 30 | +8.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Troy | -13.5 | W by 12 | -1.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Cincinnati | +5.5 | W by 14 | +19.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | Oakland | -12.0 | W by 24 | +12.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Longwood | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | Davidson | -4.5 | W by 13 | +8.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | U Mass | -7.5 | W by 4 | -3.5 |
| 01/12 | Away | Duquesne | +1.0 | W by 10 | +11.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Saint Louis | -13.0 | W by 5 | -8.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Rhode Island | -12.5 | W by 34 | +21.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | La Salle | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Richmond | -3.5 | L by 5 | -8.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | Geo Wshgtn | -12.5 | W by 22 | +9.5 |
| 02/02 | Home | St Bonavent | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | St Josephs | -2.0 | W by 15 | +13.0 |
| 02/09 | Away | VCU | -2.0 | L by 2 | -4.0 |
| 02/13 | Home | Duquesne | -8.0 | W by 16 | +8.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | Fordham | -13.0 | W by 8 | -5.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Geo Mason | -3.5 | L by 4 | -7.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Davidson | -10.5 | W by 14 | +3.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Loyola-Chi | -1.0 | L by 5 | -6.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Saint Louis | -9.5 | W by 17 | +7.5 |
| 03/08 | Home | VCU | -8.0 | W by 5 | -3.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Duquesne | -7.0 | L by 8 | -15.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Nevada | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Arizona | +8.5 | L by 10 | -1.5 |
| DAY -10.5 | Open | -11.0 | High | -12.0 |
| Last | -11.0 | Low | -10.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1918 games where the closing line favored the home team by 9.5 to 11.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Dayton won the game 1627 times (84.8%).
- The team like UNC Asheville won the game 291 times (15.2%).
- The team like UNC Asheville did better against the spread, going 962-937-19 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4238 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like UNC Asheville did better against the spread, going 2125-2028-85 (51.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| Open | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/10 01:47 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 12:47 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 12:08 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 10:32 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 09:32 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 09:05 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
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