NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UGA SCAR
Points 71.8 75.4
Total Points   147.2
Points From 2-Pointers 38.5 38.7
Points From 3-Pointers 20.1 25.4
Points From Free Throws 13.3 11.3
Shooting UGA SCAR
Field Goals Made 25.9 27.8
Field Goals Attempted 58.1 62.1
Field Goal % 44.6% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 19.2 19.3
2 Pointers Attempted 38.4 37.1
2 Point Shooting % 50.1% 52.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 19.8 25.0
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 33.9%
Free Throws Made 13.3 11.3
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 16.0
Free Throw % 71.6% 70.6%
Ball Control UGA SCAR
Rebounds 34.0 37.4
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 10.4
Turnovers 8.8 8.7
Blocked Shots 4.0 3.7
Steals 4.9 4.3
Fouls 12.6 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Georgia

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UGA SCAR
Total Possessions 69.8
Effective Scoring Chances 68.9 71.5
% of Possessions with UGA SCAR
2 Point Attempt 48.5% 45.4%
3 Point Attempt 25.0% 30.6%
Player Fouled 21.1% 18.1%
Turnover 12.6% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken UGA SCAR
Shot Blocked 6.1% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 22.5% 28.3%