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Miss State at Florida
Wed Jan 19, 2022
6:30pm ET
Gainesville, FL
Miss State at Florida: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Florida by 4, Total Points: 137
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MSST | adv | FLA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 17-17-1 | 16-19-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-11-1 | 11-11-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 6-8-1 | 7-8-0 | |
| Away | 11-9-0 | 9-11-1 |
Miss State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Neutral | Arizona St | -4.0 | W by 15 | +11.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | TN Martin | -21.5 | W by 24 | +2.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | N Alabama | -18.0 | W by 27 | +9.0 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Wash State | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Northwestern | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Nicholls | -23.0 | W by 13 | -10.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | GA Tech | -8.5 | L by 8 | -16.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | Southern | -26.0 | L by 1 | -27.0 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Tulane | -6.5 | W by 30 | +23.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Murray St | -16.0 | W by 4 | -12.0 |
| 12/17 | Neutral | North Texas | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Rutgers | -3.0 | W by 10 | +7.0 |
| 12/31 | Home | Beth-Cook | -30.5 | W by 23 | -7.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | S Carolina | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Tennessee | +2.0 | W by 5 | +7.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Alabama | -1.0 | L by 8 | -9.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Kentucky | +6.5 | L by 13 | -6.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Vanderbilt | -13.0 | W by 13 | 0.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Florida | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Auburn | +3.0 | W by 6 | +9.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Mississippi | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Alabama | +8.5 | L by 32 | -23.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Georgia | -9.0 | W by 13 | +4.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Missouri | -7.5 | W by 24 | +16.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Arkansas | -11.0 | W by 4 | -7.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Mississippi | -6.5 | W by 12 | +5.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | LSU | -3.5 | W by 20 | +16.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Kentucky | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Auburn | +10.5 | L by 15 | -4.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Texas A&M | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | S Carolina | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | LSU | -5.0 | W by 10 | +5.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Tennessee | +9.5 | W by 17 | +26.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Auburn | +8.0 | L by 7 | +1.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Michigan St | +1.5 | L by 18 | -16.5 |
Florida Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Loyola-MD | -24.5 | W by 20 | -4.5 |
| 11/10 | Neutral | Virginia | -1.0 | L by 3 | -4.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | Florida A&M | -34.0 | W by 21 | -13.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Florida St | -8.5 | W by 21 | +12.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Pittsburgh | -5.0 | W by 15 | +10.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Baylor | +3.0 | L by 4 | -1.0 |
| 11/29 | Away | Wake Forest | -5.0 | L by 11 | -16.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Merrimack | -21.5 | W by 20 | -1.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Richmond | -11.0 | W by 11 | 0.0 |
| 12/14 | Neutral | E Carolina | -15.0 | W by 5 | -10.0 |
| 12/19 | Neutral | Michigan | -3.5 | W by 5 | +1.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Grambling St | -26.5 | W by 39 | +12.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Quinnipiac | -21.5 | W by 25 | +3.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Kentucky | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Mississippi | -2.5 | L by 18 | -20.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Arkansas | -7.5 | W by 22 | +14.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Tennessee | +10.0 | L by 19 | -9.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Missouri | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Miss State | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Georgia | -8.0 | W by 4 | -4.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Kentucky | +7.5 | W by 3 | +10.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Texas A&M | +4.0 | L by 1 | +3.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Auburn | +2.0 | W by 16 | +18.0 |
| 02/13 | Home | LSU | -11.0 | W by 2 | -9.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Georgia | -4.0 | W by 6 | +2.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Alabama | +10.0 | L by 5 | +5.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Vanderbilt | -15.0 | W by 13 | -2.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Missouri | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | S Carolina | +2.0 | L by 6 | -4.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Alabama | -2.5 | W by 18 | +15.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Vanderbilt | -9.0 | L by 1 | -10.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Georgia | -8.0 | W by 5 | -3.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Alabama | +4.5 | W by 14 | +18.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Texas A&M | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 03/17 | Neutral | Auburn | +5.5 | L by 19 | -13.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Colorado | +1.5 | L by 2 | -0.5 |
| FLA -4.0 | Open | -4.0 | High | -6.0 |
| Last | -4.5 | Low | -4.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3177 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3 to 5 points. In these games:
- The team like Florida won the game 2034 times (64.0%).
- The team like Mississippi State won the game 1143 times (36.0%).
- The team like Florida did better against the spread, going 1564-1531-82 (50.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3648 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Florida did better against the spread, going 1797-1794-57 (50.0% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.0 | -4.0 | -4.0 |
| Open | -4.0 | -4.0 | -6.5 |
| History | |||
| 01/19 06:29 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 06:24 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 01/19 06:05 PM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 01/19 05:59 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 05:55 PM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 01/19 05:04 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 04:52 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 03:55 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 03:01 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 02:16 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 01:43 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 01:35 PM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 01/19 12:13 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 11:35 AM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 01/19 11:19 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 10:40 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 09:46 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 09:07 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 08:34 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 07:54 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 01/19 07:46 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 06:55 AM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 01/19 06:44 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 01/19 06:34 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 05:55 AM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 01/19 05:04 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 01/19 04:55 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/19 01:44 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 01/19 12:16 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 11:15 PM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 01/18 10:24 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 01/18 10:04 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 01/18 09:49 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 09:28 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 08:37 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 04:34 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 01/18 03:14 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 01/18 03:10 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 03:04 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
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