NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LT USM
Points 72.2 61.8
Total Points   133.9
Points From 2-Pointers 34.4 28.5
Points From 3-Pointers 20.9 18.9
Points From Free Throws 16.9 14.4
Shooting LT USM
Field Goals Made 24.2 20.6
Field Goals Attempted 58.0 55.4
Field Goal % 41.6% 37.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 14.3
2 Pointers Attempted 39.2 37.1
2 Point Shooting % 43.9% 38.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 18.8 18.3
3 Point Shooting % 37.0% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 16.9 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 24.1 20.4
Free Throw % 70.3% 70.5%
Ball Control LT USM
Rebounds 42.2 33.3
Rebounds - Defensive 29.4 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.8 8.6
Turnovers 10.5 11.3
Blocked Shots 4.1 4.6
Steals 7.8 6.2
Fouls 14.0 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: LA Tech

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LT USM
Total Possessions 70.3
Effective Scoring Chances 72.7 67.5
% of Possessions with LT USM
2 Point Attempt 46.1% 46.1%
3 Point Attempt 22.1% 22.7%
Player Fouled 23.2% 19.9%
Turnover 14.9% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 11.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken LT USM
Shot Blocked 8.5% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 34.2% 22.6%