NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BUT MARQ
Points 71.5 81.5
Total Points   153.0
Points From 2-Pointers 31.9 46.3
Points From 3-Pointers 28.3 26.7
Points From Free Throws 11.3 8.5
Shooting BUT MARQ
Field Goals Made 25.4 32.0
Field Goals Attempted 59.9 64.4
Field Goal % 42.4% 49.8%
2 Pointers Made 15.9 23.1
2 Pointers Attempted 32.9 39.2
2 Point Shooting % 48.4% 59.0%
3 Pointers Made 9.4 8.9
3 Pointers Attempted 27.0 25.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 11.3 8.5
Free Throws Attempted 14.1 12.4
Free Throw % 80.1% 68.8%
Ball Control BUT MARQ
Rebounds 34.6 35.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 8.6
Turnovers 12.7 9.0
Blocked Shots 2.6 4.2
Steals 5.0 8.9
Fouls 11.5 12.2

Playing Style Advantage: Marquette

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BUT MARQ
Total Possessions 72.3
Effective Scoring Chances 68.4 71.9
% of Possessions with BUT MARQ
2 Point Attempt 39.7% 47.9%
3 Point Attempt 32.6% 30.7%
Player Fouled 16.9% 15.9%
Turnover 17.5% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 12.3% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken BUT MARQ
Shot Blocked 6.6% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 24.7% 25.0%