NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BRY ALBY
Points 85.0 76.4
Total Points   161.4
Points From 2-Pointers 51.6 36.9
Points From 3-Pointers 17.3 24.1
Points From Free Throws 16.1 15.5
Shooting BRY ALBY
Field Goals Made 31.6 26.5
Field Goals Attempted 61.6 69.2
Field Goal % 51.2% 38.2%
2 Pointers Made 25.8 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 42.1 43.9
2 Point Shooting % 61.2% 42.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 19.5 25.3
3 Point Shooting % 29.6% 31.7%
Free Throws Made 16.1 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 23.8 20.9
Free Throw % 67.6% 73.9%
Ball Control BRY ALBY
Rebounds 39.5 40.0
Rebounds - Defensive 31.9 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 13.0
Turnovers 11.9 12.0
Blocked Shots 7.0 2.9
Steals 6.5 8.0
Fouls 13.6 18.0

Playing Style Advantage: Bryant

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BRY ALBY
Total Possessions 80.2
Effective Scoring Chances 76.0 81.2
% of Possessions with BRY ALBY
2 Point Attempt 47.4% 45.8%
3 Point Attempt 21.9% 26.3%
Player Fouled 22.5% 17.0%
Turnover 14.8% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 10.0% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken BRY ALBY
Shot Blocked 4.3% 11.5%
Offensive Rebound 22.0% 29.0%