NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNCA RAD
Points 75.0 71.1
Total Points   146.1
Points From 2-Pointers 34.8 37.3
Points From 3-Pointers 25.0 21.7
Points From Free Throws 15.2 12.1
Shooting UNCA RAD
Field Goals Made 25.7 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 57.6 60.6
Field Goal % 44.7% 42.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 18.6
2 Pointers Attempted 33.8 39.8
2 Point Shooting % 51.5% 46.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 23.8 20.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 15.2 12.1
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 16.5
Free Throw % 75.0% 73.7%
Ball Control UNCA RAD
Rebounds 35.4 36.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.3 24.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 11.5
Turnovers 9.2 9.6
Blocked Shots 3.4 3.6
Steals 3.9 4.9
Fouls 12.5 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Radford

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNCA RAD
Total Possessions 68.9
Effective Scoring Chances 69.8 70.8
% of Possessions with UNCA RAD
2 Point Attempt 42.1% 48.7%
3 Point Attempt 29.6% 25.4%
Player Fouled 23.5% 18.1%
Turnover 13.3% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNCA RAD
Shot Blocked 6.0% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 29.1% 31.2%