NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LT WKU
Points 76.3 68.8
Total Points   145.1
Points From 2-Pointers 35.6 34.5
Points From 3-Pointers 23.5 20.2
Points From Free Throws 17.2 14.2
Shooting LT WKU
Field Goals Made 25.6 24.0
Field Goals Attempted 58.1 60.8
Field Goal % 44.2% 39.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 36.3 40.9
2 Point Shooting % 49.1% 42.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 21.8 19.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.9% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 17.2 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 24.5 19.5
Free Throw % 70.3% 72.7%
Ball Control LT WKU
Rebounds 40.8 34.8
Rebounds - Defensive 30.2 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 8.9
Turnovers 11.9 11.8
Blocked Shots 6.1 3.1
Steals 6.7 7.0
Fouls 14.7 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: LA Tech

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LT WKU
Total Possessions 74.6
Effective Scoring Chances 73.3 71.7
% of Possessions with LT WKU
2 Point Attempt 41.9% 47.7%
3 Point Attempt 25.2% 23.1%
Player Fouled 23.1% 19.6%
Turnover 16.0% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken LT WKU
Shot Blocked 5.3% 10.6%
Offensive Rebound 29.1% 22.7%