NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BUT GTWN
Points 84.8 73.7
Total Points   158.4
Points From 2-Pointers 43.8 37.1
Points From 3-Pointers 25.8 25.3
Points From Free Throws 15.1 11.3
Shooting BUT GTWN
Field Goals Made 30.5 27.0
Field Goals Attempted 57.9 63.1
Field Goal % 52.7% 42.8%
2 Pointers Made 21.9 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 34.9 38.4
2 Point Shooting % 62.8% 48.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 23.0 24.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.4% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 15.1 11.3
Free Throws Attempted 18.9 15.6
Free Throw % 80.2% 72.0%
Ball Control BUT GTWN
Rebounds 34.1 33.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 21.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 11.8
Turnovers 9.8 10.1
Blocked Shots 3.3 3.3
Steals 6.1 5.8
Fouls 12.6 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Georgetown

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BUT GTWN
Total Possessions 71.2
Effective Scoring Chances 69.0 72.9
% of Possessions with BUT GTWN
2 Point Attempt 43.6% 45.5%
3 Point Attempt 28.7% 29.3%
Player Fouled 20.6% 17.7%
Turnover 13.7% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken BUT GTWN
Shot Blocked 5.3% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 25.9% 30.8%