NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GONZ WASH
Points 86.5 76.5
Total Points   163.0
Points From 2-Pointers 52.1 39.1
Points From 3-Pointers 19.9 24.9
Points From Free Throws 14.5 12.6
Shooting GONZ WASH
Field Goals Made 32.7 27.8
Field Goals Attempted 64.7 63.1
Field Goal % 50.6% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made 26.0 19.5
2 Pointers Attempted 46.3 40.6
2 Point Shooting % 56.3% 48.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 18.4 22.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 36.8%
Free Throws Made 14.5 12.6
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 17.6
Free Throw % 73.6% 71.5%
Ball Control GONZ WASH
Rebounds 39.7 32.9
Rebounds - Defensive 28.5 23.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 9.3
Turnovers 8.4 9.6
Blocked Shots 3.8 2.7
Steals 5.8 4.4
Fouls 15.3 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GONZ WASH
Total Possessions 73.8
Effective Scoring Chances 76.7 73.5
% of Possessions with GONZ WASH
2 Point Attempt 53.7% 47.9%
3 Point Attempt 21.4% 26.6%
Player Fouled 19.9% 20.7%
Turnover 11.4% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken GONZ WASH
Shot Blocked 4.3% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 32.3% 24.6%