NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AAMU SOU
Points 62.1 65.6
Total Points   127.7
Points From 2-Pointers 30.1 29.5
Points From 3-Pointers 9.6 19.5
Points From Free Throws 22.4 16.7
Shooting AAMU SOU
Field Goals Made 18.2 21.2
Field Goals Attempted 44.7 52.6
Field Goal % 40.8% 40.4%
2 Pointers Made 15.0 14.7
2 Pointers Attempted 33.3 32.9
2 Point Shooting % 45.2% 44.7%
3 Pointers Made 3.2 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 11.4 19.6
3 Point Shooting % 28.1% 33.1%
Free Throws Made 22.4 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 31.0 25.6
Free Throw % 72.3% 65.3%
Ball Control AAMU SOU
Rebounds 35.4 32.4
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 22.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 10.3
Turnovers 17.6 14.0
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.9
Steals 6.1 9.7
Fouls 18.4 20.3

Playing Style Advantage: Alab A&M

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AAMU SOU
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 64.2 68.9
% of Possessions with AAMU SOU
2 Point Attempt 39.9% 39.2%
3 Point Attempt 13.7% 23.4%
Player Fouled 28.0% 25.4%
Turnover 24.2% 19.3%
Opponent Steal 13.4% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken AAMU SOU
Shot Blocked 7.5% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 29.6% 28.3%