NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BRY FDU
Points 83.7 68.0
Total Points   151.8
Points From 2-Pointers 42.2 29.9
Points From 3-Pointers 28.3 22.0
Points From Free Throws 13.3 16.2
Shooting BRY FDU
Field Goals Made 30.5 22.3
Field Goals Attempted 62.1 66.2
Field Goal % 49.2% 33.7%
2 Pointers Made 21.1 14.9
2 Pointers Attempted 36.3 41.2
2 Point Shooting % 58.1% 36.3%
3 Pointers Made 9.4 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 25.8 25.0
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 29.4%
Free Throws Made 13.3 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 23.3
Free Throw % 67.6% 69.4%
Ball Control BRY FDU
Rebounds 44.3 38.3
Rebounds - Defensive 36.3 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 10.9
Turnovers 13.0 10.8
Blocked Shots 5.7 2.1
Steals 5.7 8.1
Fouls 15.3 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: F Dickinson

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BRY FDU
Total Possessions 79.4
Effective Scoring Chances 74.3 79.6
% of Possessions with BRY FDU
2 Point Attempt 41.2% 44.5%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 26.9%
Player Fouled 21.2% 19.2%
Turnover 16.4% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 10.3% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken BRY FDU
Shot Blocked 3.3% 9.3%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 23.1%