NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AAMU NORAL
Points 69.1 75.1
Total Points   144.2
Points From 2-Pointers 36.3 31.4
Points From 3-Pointers 10.1 22.5
Points From Free Throws 22.7 21.3
Shooting AAMU NORAL
Field Goals Made 21.5 23.2
Field Goals Attempted 52.5 55.9
Field Goal % 40.9% 41.5%
2 Pointers Made 18.1 15.7
2 Pointers Attempted 41.2 35.5
2 Point Shooting % 44.1% 44.3%
3 Pointers Made 3.4 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 11.3 20.4
3 Point Shooting % 29.5% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 22.7 21.3
Free Throws Attempted 31.5 27.6
Free Throw % 72.3% 77.2%
Ball Control AAMU NORAL
Rebounds 35.9 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 10.2
Turnovers 11.4 10.8
Blocked Shots 3.7 3.3
Steals 5.4 6.3
Fouls 19.3 18.9

Playing Style Advantage: Alab A&M

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AAMU NORAL
Total Possessions 73.1
Effective Scoring Chances 71.7 72.5
% of Possessions with AAMU NORAL
2 Point Attempt 48.8% 41.8%
3 Point Attempt 13.4% 24.1%
Player Fouled 25.8% 26.4%
Turnover 15.6% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken AAMU NORAL
Shot Blocked 6.1% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 27.9% 28.3%